Saturday, December 02, 2006

Geopolitical Prediction

It's reasonably easy to predict the future in Iraq. Whatever horrible worst-case scenario is cited by experts as a reason why US troops cannot withdraw from that country is invariably what winds up happening next.

We can't leave, or there might be a civil war. Hello, civil war. And so forth. Today, the darkest fear ot desk-based strategists is the Shia-Sunni war in Iraq might spill over into the Middle East. So that's what we can look forward to in 2007.

No worries. A faraway war among people we don't understand is expected to have very little impact on the lives of average American civilians.

That is, unless they happen to drive a car.

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